Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal Prediction - ATP Madrid 2024
Last updated: Apr 27, 2024, 2:11PM | Published: Apr 26, 2024, 3:06PM
Alex de Minaur will play Rafael Nadal in the round of 64 at the 2024 ATP Madrid tournament on Sunday.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the de Minaur vs Nadal match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who Will Win: De Minaur vs Nadal
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's de Minaur-Nadal men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives de Minaur a 53% chance of winning against Nadal at the ATP Madrid tournament.
More: De Minaur vs Nadal 2024 Match Centre
De Minaur vs Nadal: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Madrid match between de Minaur and Nadal are listed here:
- Head to Head: de Minaur $1.61, Nadal $2.30
- First Set: de Minaur $1.66, Nadal $2.20
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has de Minaur at $1.61 and Nadal at $2.30.
TAB currently has odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.66 and odds for Nadal to win the first set at $2.20.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
De Minaur vs Nadal: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Nadal at $2.30 with TAB (5.9% edge) 🔥
- First Set: Nadal at $2.00 with TAB (0.6% edge)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Our Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, taking Nadal to win is our preferred option because of the 5.9% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Nadal ($2.00) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
De Minaur vs Nadal: Prediction
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal at the ATP Madrid tournament, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live in-play probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the de Minaur-Nadal match at the ATP Madrid event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
De Minaur vs Nadal: ATP Madrid Preview
The 2024 ATP Madrid match between Alex de Minaur and Rafael Nadal is scheduled to begin at 12:00am AEST.
- Match: Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal
- Date: Sunday 28 April 2024
- Approx. Time: 12:00am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2024
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Nadal predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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