Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: Apr 26, 2025, 11:06AM | Published: Apr 25, 2025, 2:06PM
Alex de Minaur will sqaure off with Lorenzo Sonego in the round of 64 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the de Minaur vs Sonego match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's de Minaur-Sonego men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives de Minaur a 72% chance of winning against Sonego at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
De Minaur vs Sonego: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Madrid Open match between de Minaur and Sonego are shown here:
- Head to Head: de Minaur $1.16, Sonego $5.00
- First Set: de Minaur $1.28, Sonego $3.75
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has de Minaur at $1.16 and Sonego at $5.00.
TAB currently has odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.28 and odds for Sonego to win the first set at $3.75.
De Minaur vs Sonego: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Sonego at $5.00 with TAB
- First Set: Sonego at $2.20 with TAB (0.4% edge)
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Our Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Sonego best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, taking Sonego to win is our preferred option because of the 9.1% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Sonego ($2.20) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
De Minaur vs Sonego: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Sonego match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the de Minaur-Sonego match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
De Minaur vs Sonego: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to start at 9:00pm AEST.
- Match: Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Sonego
- Date: Saturday 26 April 2025
- Approx. Time: 9:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Sonego predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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