Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: Apr 30, 2025, 5:31AM | Published: Apr 29, 2025, 10:04PM
Alex de Minaur will face Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the de Minaur vs Musetti match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's de Minaur-Musetti men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives de Minaur a 55% chance of winning against Musetti at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
De Minaur vs Musetti: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Madrid Open match between de Minaur and Musetti are listed here:
- Head to Head: de Minaur $1.72, Musetti $2.10
- First Set: de Minaur $1.80, Musetti $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has de Minaur at $1.72 and Musetti at $2.10.
TAB currently has odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.80 and odds for Musetti to win the first set at $2.00.
De Minaur vs Musetti: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Musetti at $2.10 with TAB
- First Set: Musetti at $1.90 with TAB (0.4% edge)
Stats Insider's Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, betting on Musetti to win is the best option due to the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Musetti ($1.90) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
De Minaur vs Musetti: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the de Minaur-Musetti match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
De Minaur vs Musetti: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to start at 5:30am AEST.
- Match: Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Thursday 1 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 5:30am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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