Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: Apr 30, 2025, 9:03PM | Published: Apr 29, 2025, 10:04PM
Alex de Minaur will take on Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the de Minaur vs Musetti match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's de Minaur-Musetti men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives de Minaur a 57% chance of winning against Musetti at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
De Minaur vs Musetti: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Madrid Open match between de Minaur and Musetti are shown below:
- Head to Head: de Minaur $1.66, Musetti $2.20
- First Set: de Minaur $1.72, Musetti $2.10
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has de Minaur at $1.66 and Musetti at $2.20.
TAB currently has odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.72 and odds for Musetti to win the first set at $2.10.
De Minaur vs Musetti: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Musetti at $2.20 with TAB
- First Set: Musetti at $1.90 with TAB (0.2% edge)
Today's Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, betting on Musetti to win is our preferred option due to the edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Musetti ($1.90) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
De Minaur vs Musetti: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the de Minaur-Musetti match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
De Minaur vs Musetti: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to commence at 6:55am AEST.
- Match: Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Thursday 1 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 6:55am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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