Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: Apr 29, 2025, 10:04AM | Published: Apr 29, 2025, 2:57AM
Alex de Minaur will take on Denis Shapovalov in the round of 32 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Tuesday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the de Minaur vs Shapovalov match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's de Minaur-Shapovalov men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives de Minaur a 70% chance of beating Shapovalov at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
De Minaur vs Shapovalov: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's ATP Madrid Open match between de Minaur and Shapovalov are listed below:
- Head to Head: de Minaur $1.22, Shapovalov $4.33
- First Set: de Minaur $1.33, Shapovalov $3.40
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has de Minaur at $1.22 and Shapovalov at $4.33.
TAB currently has odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.33 and odds for Shapovalov to win the first set at $3.40.
De Minaur vs Shapovalov: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Shapovalov at $4.33 with TAB
- First Set: Shapovalov at $1.66 with TAB (56% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.
These Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov best bets are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, betting on Shapovalov to win is our preferred option because of the 8.0% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Shapovalov ($1.66) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
De Minaur vs Shapovalov: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the de Minaur-Shapovalov match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
De Minaur vs Shapovalov: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEST.
- Match: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov
- Date: Tuesday 29 April 2025
- Approx. Time: 8:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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