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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2026

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will sqaure off with Pablo Carreno Busta in the round of 64 at the 2026 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Saturday.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Davidovich Fokina-Carreno Busta men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives Davidovich Fokina a 62% chance of beating Carreno Busta at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Madrid Open match between Davidovich Fokina and Carreno Busta are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Davidovich Fokina $1.50, Carreno Busta $2.62
  • First Set: Davidovich Fokina $1.57, Carreno Busta $2.37

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Davidovich Fokina at $1.50 and Carreno Busta at $2.62.

TAB currently has odds for Davidovich Fokina to win the first set at $1.57 and odds for Carreno Busta to win the first set at $2.37.

Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Carreno Busta at $2.62 with TAB
  • First Set: Carreno Busta at $1.90 with TAB

These Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Davidovich Fokina is more likely to win the match, taking Carreno Busta to win is our preferred option because of the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.

Using the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

And while Davidovich Fokina is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Carreno Busta ($1.90) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Davidovich Fokina-Carreno Busta match at the ATP Madrid Open event.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details

The 2026 ATP Madrid Open match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start at 7:00pm AEST.

  • Match: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
  • Date: Saturday 25 April 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
  • Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on Tennis

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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