Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026, 9:03AM | Published: Apr 23, 2026, 6:57PM
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will sqaure off with Pablo Carreno Busta in the round of 64 at the 2026 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Davidovich Fokina-Carreno Busta men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Davidovich Fokina a 62% chance of defeating Carreno Busta at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Madrid Open match between Davidovich Fokina and Carreno Busta are shown below:
- Head to Head: Davidovich Fokina $1.44, Carreno Busta $2.75
- First Set: Davidovich Fokina $1.53, Carreno Busta $2.50
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Davidovich Fokina at $1.44 and Carreno Busta at $2.75.
TAB currently has odds for Davidovich Fokina to win the first set at $1.53 and odds for Carreno Busta to win the first set at $2.50.
Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carreno Busta at $2.75 with TAB
- First Set: Carreno Busta at $1.83 with TAB (53% probability)
Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Davidovich Fokina is more likely to win the match, betting on Carreno Busta to win is the best option because of the 1.9% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Davidovich Fokina is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Carreno Busta ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Davidovich Fokina-Carreno Busta match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Madrid Open match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start at 7:00pm AEST.
- Match: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
- Date: Saturday 25 April 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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