AFL Expert Tips and Predictions Qualifying and Elimination Finals, 2026
Last updated: Aug 30, 2026, 11:28AM | Published: Aug 29, 2026, 2:18PM
Searching for data-driven AFL tips for the first week of finals? We have AFL Week 2 finals tips 2026 for every game this weekend.
Get an edge in AFL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for the first week of finals of the 2026 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game 10,000 times.
AFL Finals Week 2 Expert Tips 2026
There is of course four games across the first week of finals of the 2026 AFL season, beginning with Fremantle vs Hawthorn on Thursday and concluding with Adelaide vs Bulldogs on Saturday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL finals tips 2026 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
AFL Tips Finals Week 2 2026: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL game across the second week of finals, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn
This week's finals action in the AFL kicks off with Fremantle facing Hawthorn at Optus Stadium on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Fremantle as having a 70% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 30% win probability.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn is at Optus Stadium on Thursday, September 3 at 8:10pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Brisbane
In this week's game between Sydney and Brisbane, the Lions are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 64% chance for Brisbane. Sydney, on the other hand, has a 36% chance of winning.
Sydney vs Brisbane is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, September 5 at 3:15pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Geelong vs Carlton
We are tipping Geelong to win its game against Carlton this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 64% win probability for the Cats. Carlton has a 36% chance of winning at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Carlton is at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, September 4 at 7:40pm.
Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs
With a win probability of 68%, our tip for this match is Adelaide, while its opponent, the Western Bulldogs, have a projected win chance of 32%.
Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, September 5 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
AFL Tipping Finals Week 2 2026: Who to Tip
- Fremantle
- Brisbane
- Geelong
- Adelaide
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Finals Game
AFL Finals Week 2 Games to Tip On
- Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions
- Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues
- Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
The AFL finals tips 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your go-to site for AFL betting insights and analysis, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL 2026 premiership probabilities.
