AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 5, 2026, 2:16PM | Published: May 3, 2026, 2:15PM
Looking for assistance on your AFL tips for Round 9? We have AFL Round 9 tips 2026 for every match this week.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you an edge with AFL tipping for each match in Round 9 of the 2026 season.
AFL Round 9 Expert Tips 2026
Footy fans have nine games to watch this week, beginning with Fremantle vs Hawthorn on Thursday and finishing with Melbourne vs West Coast on Sunday.
Our AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 9 2026 a must-read resource for AFL fans.
AFL Tips Round 9 2026: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 9, 2026, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn
Round 9 action kicks off with Fremantle facing Hawthorn at Optus Stadium on Thursday. Our model projects Fremantle as having a 56% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 44% projected win chance.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn is at Optus Stadium on Thursday, May 7 at 8:10pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Brisbane vs Carlton
In Friday night's game between Brisbane and Carlton, the Lions are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 92% chance for Brisbane. Carlton, on the other hand, has an 8% chance of winning.
Brisbane vs Carlton is at The Gabba on Friday, May 8 at 7:30pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Port Adelaide vs Carlton
Our model has these two teams at a 50-50 split heading into the game, with a slight edge towards tipping Port Adelaide to get the win over Bulldogs at Adelaide Ovalon Friday night.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs is at Adelaide Oval on Friday, May 8 at 8:10pm.
GWS vs Essendon
With a win probability of 89%, our tip for this game is GWS, while its opponent, Essendon, has a projected win chance of 11%.
GWS vs Essendon is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, May 9 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Gold Coast vs St Kilda
The Suns have a 69% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to St Kilda's 31% chance of victory. This makes Gold Coast the team to tip at Metricon Stadium.
Gold Coast vs St Kilda is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, May 9 at 7:10pm.
Geelong vs Collingwood
Geelong is favoured to win this game, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 64% chance, while Collingwood enters the weekend with a 36% chance of causing an upset at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Collingwood is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, May 9 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Richmond vs Adelaide
According to our predictive analytics model, Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Crows' win probability at 84%. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 16% chance of winning.
Richmond vs Adelaide is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 10 at 3:15pm.
North Melbourne vs Sydney
Our model is tipping the Swans in this match, with Sydney given a 75% chance of winning, while North Melbourne has a 25% win probability.
North Melbourne vs Sydney is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 9 at 1:15pm.
Melbourne vs West Coast
The last game of Round 9 sees Melbourne take on West Coast at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
We are tipping Melbourne with a win probability of 91%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of just 9%.
Melbourne vs West Coast is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 10 at 1:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 9 2026: Who to Tip
- Fremantle
- Brisbane
- Port Adelaide
- GWS
- Gold Coast
- Geelong
- Adelaide
- Sydney
- Melbourne
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 9 Games to Tip On
- Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues
- Port Adelaide Power vs Western Bulldogs
- GWS Giants vs Essendon Bombers
- Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints
- Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies
- Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans
- Melbourne Demons vs West Coast Eagles
The AFL footy tips Round 9 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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