AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 9, 2025
Last updated: May 7, 2025, 12:15AM | Published: May 6, 2025, 2:15PM
Searching for the best AFL tips for Round 9? We have AFL Round 9 tips 2025 for every game this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to help with AFL tipping for each match in Round 9 of the 2025 season.
AFL Round 9 Expert Tips 2025
There are nine games in Round 9 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Fremantle vs Collingwood on Thursday and concluding with North Melbourne vs Brisbane on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 9 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 9 2025: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 9, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Fremantle vs Collingwood
Round 9 action kicks off with Fremantle playing Collingwood at Optus Stadium on Thursday night. Our model projects Collingwood as having a 51% chance of winning, while Fremantle has a 49% projected win chance.
Fremantle vs Collingwood is at Optus Stadium on Thursday, May 8 at 8:10pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
St Kilda vs Carlton
In this week's game between St Kilda and Carlton, the Blues are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 65% chance for Carlton. On the other hand, St Kilda has a 35% chance of pulling off an upset win.
St Kilda vs Carlton is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, May 9 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Melbourne vs Hawthorn
We are tipping Hawthorn to win its game against Melbourne this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 78% win probability for the Hawks. Melbourne has a 22% chance of winning at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Hawthorn is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 10 at 1:20pm.
Essendon vs Sydney
With a win probability of 56%, our tip for this match is Sydney, while its opponent, Essendon, has a projected win chance of 44%.
Essendon vs Sydney is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 10 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs
The Suns have a 52% chance of winning this week, compared to the Western Bulldogs' 48% chance of victory. This makes Gold Coast the team to tip at TIO Stadium.
Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs is at TIO Stadium on Saturday, May 10 at 7:35pm.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide
Adelaide is favoured to win this game, with our model giving them a 71% chance, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 29% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, May 10 at 8:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Richmond vs West Coast
According to our predictive analytics model, Richmond is the team to beat in this game, with the Tigers' win probability at 64%. West Coast, on the other hand, has a 36% chance of winning.
Richmond vs West Coast is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 11 at 1:10pm.
Geelong vs GWS
Our model is tipping the Cats in this game, with Geelong given a 66% chance of winning, while GWS has a 34% win probability.
Geelong vs GWS is at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday, May 11 at 3:20pm.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane
The last game of Round 9 sees North Melbourne take on Brisbane at Marvel Stadium.
We are tipping Brisbane with a win probability of 88%, while North Melbourne is projected to have a win chance of 12%.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, May 11 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 9 2025: Who to Tip
- Collingwood
- Carlton
- Hawthorn
- Sydney
- Gold Coast
- Adelaide
- Richmond
- Geelong
- Brisbane
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 9 Games to Tip On
- Fremantle Dockers vs Collingwood Magpies
- St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues
- Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans
- Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs Bulldogs
- Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows
- Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles
- Geelong Cats vs GWS Giants
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions
The AFL footy tips Round 9 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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