AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 29, 2026, 2:15AM | Published: Mar 23, 2026, 1:15AM
Looking for an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 3? We have AFL Round 3 tips 2026 for every game this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you some help with AFL tipping for each match in Round 3 of the 2026 season.
AFL Round 3 Expert Tips 2026
AFL fans have seven games to watch this week, beginning with Geelong vs Adelaide on Thursday and concluding with Carlton vs Melbourne on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 3 2026 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 3 2026: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 3, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Geelong vs Adelaide
Round 3 action kicks off with Geelong playing Adelaide at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Geelong as having an 80% chance of winning, while Adelaide has a 20% win probability.
Geelong vs Adelaide is at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, March 26 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).
Collingwood vs GWS
In Friday night's game between Collingwood and GWS, the Magpies are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 67% chance for Collingwood. GWS, on the other hand, has a 33% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Collingwood vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, March 27 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
St Kilda vs Brisbane
We are tipping Brisbane to win its game against St Kilda this week, with our model projecting a 62% win probability for the Lions. St Kilda has a 38% chance of winning at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Brisbane is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, March 28 at 12:35pm AEDT.
Fremantle vs Richmond
With a win probability of 95%, our tip for this match is Fremantle, while its opponent, Richmond, has a low projected win chance of 5%.
Fremantle vs Richmond is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, March 28 at 4:15pm AEDT.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Essendon vs North Melbourne
The Kangaroos have a 67% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Essendon's 33% chance of victory. This makes N Melbourne the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs North Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, March 28 at 7:35pm AEDT.
Port Adelaide vs West Coast
Port Adelaide is favoured to win this game, with our model giving them a 75% chance, while West Coast enters the weekend with a 25% chance of causing an upset at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs West Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, March 29 at 12:30pm AEDT.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Carlton vs Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, Melbourne is the team to beat in this game, with the Demons' win probability at 53%. Carlton, on the other hand, has a 47% chance of winning.
Carlton vs Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, March 29 at 3:15pm AEDT.
AFL Tipping Round 3 2026: Who to Tip
- Geelong
- Collingwood
- Brisbane
- Fremantle
- N Melbourne
- Port Adelaide
- Melbourne
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 3 Games to Tip On
- Geelong Cats vs Adelaide Crows
- Collingwood Magpies vs GWS Giants
- St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions
- Fremantle Dockers vs Richmond Tigers
- Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles
- Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons
AFL Round 3 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Gold Coast Suns
- Hawthorn Hawks
- Sydney Swans
- Western Bulldogs
The AFL footy tips Round 3 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your home for AFL betting insights and analysis, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL match, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL 2026 premiership probabilities.
