AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 23, 2026
Last updated: Aug 11, 2026, 1:22PM | Published: Aug 9, 2026, 1:26PM
Searching for guidance with your AFL tips for Round 23? We have AFL Round 23 tips 2026 for every game this week.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to help with AFL tipping for each match in Round 23 of the 2026 season.
As we enter the concluding weekends of the 2026 AFL season, our expert tips have become even more vital. Utilise our model's Round 23 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 23 Expert Tips 2026
AFL fans have nine games to watch this week, beginning with Fremantle vs Adelaide on Friday and concluding with GWS vs West Coast on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 23 2026 a go-to resource for AFL fans of every level.
AFL Tips Round 23 2026: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 23, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Fremantle vs Adelaide
Round 23 AFL action kicks off with Fremantle taking on Adelaide at Optus Stadium on Friday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Fremantle as having a 76% chance of winning, while Adelaide has a 24% projected win chance.
Fremantle vs Adelaide is at Optus Stadium on Friday, August 14 at 8:10pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
North Melbourne vs Geelong
In this week's game between North Melbourne and Geelong, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 72% chance for Geelong. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 28% chance of pulling off an upset win.
North Melbourne vs Geelong is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 15 at 3:45pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Brisbane vs Gold Coast
We are tipping Brisbane to win its game against Gold Coast this week, with our model projecting an 85% win probability for the Lions. Gold Coast has a 15% chance of winning at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Gold Coast is at The Gabba on Saturday, August 15 at 11:05am.
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne
With a win probability of 71%, our tip for this game is Melbourne, while its opponent, Port Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 29%.
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 15 at 8:10pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Western Bulldogs vs Carlton
The Blues have a 58% chance of winning this week, compared to the Western Bulldogs' 42% chance of victory. This makes Carlton the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
Western Bulldogs vs Carlton is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 16 at 3:15pm.
Essendon vs Sydney
Sydney is favoured to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 96% chance, while Essendon enters the weekend with a 4% chance of causing an upset at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Essendon vs Sydney is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, August 16 at 4:40pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Hawthorn vs Collingwood
According to our predictive analytics model, Hawthorn is the team to beat in this game, with the Hawks' win probability at 70%. Collingwood, on the other hand, has a 30% chance of winning.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 15 at 7:40pm.
Richmond vs St Kilda
Our model is tipping the Saints in this game, with St Kilda given a 76% chance of winning, while Richmond has a 24% win probability.
Richmond vs St Kilda is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 15 at 12:35pm.
GWS vs West Coast
The last game of Round 23 sees GWS take on West Coast at Giants Stadium.
We are tipping GWS with a win probability of 85%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of 15%.
GWS vs West Coast is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, August 16 at 1:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 23 2026: Who to Tip
- Fremantle
- Geelong
- Brisbane
- Melbourne
- Carlton
- Sydney
- Hawthorn
- St Kilda
- GWS
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 23 Games to Tip On
- Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats
- Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns
- Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons
- Western Bulldogs vs Carlton Blues
- Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies
- Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints
- GWS Giants vs West Coast Eagles
The AFL footy tips Round 23 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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