AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 13, 2025, 1:16AM | Published: Aug 12, 2025, 2:15PM
To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 23, we have AFL Round 23 tips 2025 for every match this weekend.
Gain an edge in AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 23 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match 10,000 times.
As we head into the concluding weeks of the 2025 AFL season, these expert tips are becoming even more important. Make the most of our model's Round 23 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 23 Expert Tips 2025
There are nine games in Round 23 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Essendon vs St Kilda on Friday and finishing with the Bulldogs vs West Coast on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 23 2025 a go-to resource for AFL fans of every level.
AFL Tips Round 23 2025: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 23, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Essendon vs St Kilda
Round 23 AFL action kicks off with Essendon taking on St Kilda at Marvel Stadium on Friday night. Our predictive analytics model projects St Kilda as having a 75% chance of winning, while Essendon has a 25% projected win chance.
Essendon vs St Kilda is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, August 15 at 7:20pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Fremantle vs Brisbane
In this week's game between Fremantle and Brisbane, the Dockers are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 51% chance for Fremantle. On the other hand, Brisbane has a 49% chance of winning.
Fremantle vs Brisbane is at Optus Stadium on Friday, August 15 at 8:35pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Gold Coast vs GWS
We are tipping Gold Coast to win its game against GWS this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 66% win probability for the Suns. GWS has a 34% chance of winning at People First Stadium.
Gold Coast vs GWS is at People First Stadium on Saturday, August 16 at 12:35pm.
Carlton vs Port Adelaide
With a win probability of 75%, our tip for this match is Carlton, while its opponent, Port Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 25%.
Carlton vs Port Adelaide is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 16 at 1:20pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Hawthorn vs Melbourne
The Hawks have a 77% chance of winning this week, compared to Melbourne's 23% chance of victory. This makes Hawthorn the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 16 at 4:15pm.
Adelaide vs Collingwood
Adelaide is favoured to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 70% chance, while Collingwood enters the weekend with a 30% chance of causing an upset at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs Collingwood is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 16 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
North Melbourne vs Richmond
According to our predictive analytics model, North Melbourne is the team to beat in this game, with the Kangaroos' win probability at 66%. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 34% chance of winning.
North Melbourne vs Richmond is at Blundstone Arena on Sunday, August 17 at 1:10pm.
Sydney vs Geelong
We are tipping the Cats in this match, with Geelong given a 73% chance of winning, while Sydney has a 27% chance of an upset win.
Sydney vs Geelong is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Sunday, August 17 at 3:15pm.
Western Bulldogs vs West Coast
The last game of Round 23 sees the Western Bulldogs take on West Coast at Marvel Stadium.
We are tipping the Bulldogs with a win probability of 100%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of just 100%.
Western Bulldogs vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 17 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 23 2025: Who to Tip
- St Kilda
- Fremantle
- Gold Coast
- Carlton
- Hawthorn
- Adelaide
- North Melbourne
- Geelong
- Bulldogs
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 23 Games to Tip On
- Essendon Bombers vs St Kilda Saints
- Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions
- Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants
- Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons
- Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers
- Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats
- Western Bulldogs vs West Coast Eagles
The AFL footy tips Round 23 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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