AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 2, 2026, 11:23PM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 11:18AM
Looking for help on your AFL tips for Round 22? We have AFL Round 22 tips 2026 for every game this week.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to help with AFL tipping for each game in Round 22 of the 2026 season.
As we are now in the concluding weekends of the 2026 AFL season, our expert tips have become even more important. Use our model's Round 22 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 22 Expert Tips 2026
Round 22 of the AFL season features nine games, beginning with the Bulldogs vs North Melbourne on Thursday and ending with St Kilda vs Carlton on Sunday.
Our AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 22 2026 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters across the country.
AFL Tips Round 22 2026: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 22, 2026, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne
Round 22 AFL action kicks off with the Western Bulldogs playing North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects the Western Bulldogs as having a 67% chance of winning, while North Melbourne has a 33% projected win chance.
Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, August 6 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Brisbane vs Hawthorn
In this week's game between Brisbane and Hawthorn, the Lions are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 59% chance for Brisbane. On the other hand, Hawthorn has a 41% chance of winning.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn is at The Gabba on Friday, August 7 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Sydney vs Port Adelaide
We are tipping Sydney to win its game against Port Adelaide this week, with our model projecting an 86% win probability for the Swans. Port Adelaide has a 14% chance of winning.
Sydney vs Port Adelaide is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 8 at 4:15pm.
West Coast vs Collingwood
With a win probability of 74% on Sunday afternoon, our tip for this game is Collingwood, while its opponent, West Coast, has a projected win chance of 26%.
West Coast vs Collingwood is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, August 9 at 4:10pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Melbourne vs Fremantle
The Dockers have a 62% chance of winning this week, compared to Melbourne's 38% chance of victory. This makes Fremantle the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Fremantle is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 8 at 1:15pm.
Geelong vs Essendon
Geelong is favoured to win this game, with our model giving them a 99% chance, while Essendon enters the weekend with a 1% chance of causing an upset at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Essendon is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, August 8 at 4:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Adelaide vs Richmond
According to our predictive analytics model, Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Crows' win probability at 96%. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 4% chance of pulling off an upset victory.
Adelaide vs Richmond is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 8 at 7:35pm.
GWS vs Gold Coast
Our model is tipping the Giants in this match, with GWS given a 69% chance of winning, while Gold Coast has a 31% win probability.
GWS vs Gold Coast is at Manuka Oval on Sunday, August 9 at 1:10pm.
St Kilda vs Carlton
The last game of Round 22 sees St Kilda take on Carlton at Marvel Stadium.
We are tipping Carlton with a win probability of 55%, while St Kilda is projected to have a win chance of 45%.
St Kilda vs Carlton is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 9 at 7:20pm.
AFL Tipping Round 22 2026: Who to Tip
- Bulldogs
- Brisbane
- Sydney
- Collingwood
- Fremantle
- Geelong
- Adelaide
- GWS
- Carlton
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 22 Games to Tip On
- Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power
- West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies
- Melbourne Demons vs Fremantle Dockers
- Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers
- Adelaide Crows vs Richmond Tigers
- GWS Giants vs Gold Coast Suns
- St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues
The AFL footy tips Round 22 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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