AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Aug 6, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Aug 5, 2025, 2:15PM
To give you a hand with your AFL tips for Round 22, we have AFL Round 22 tips 2025 for every game this week.
Gain an edge in AFL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game 10,000 times.
As we enter the final rounds of the 2025 AFL season, our expert tips have become even more important. Use the below Round 22 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 22 Expert Tips 2025
AFL fans have nine games to enjoy this week, starting with Hawthorn vs Collingwood on Thursday and ending with West Coast vs Adelaide on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 22 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
AFL Tips Round 22 2025: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 22, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood
Round 22 action kicks off with Hawthorn taking on Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday night. Our AFL model projects Collingwood as having a 56% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 44% projected win chance.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, August 7 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Geelong vs Essendon
In this week's game between Geelong and Essendon, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 99% chance for Geelong. Essendon, on the other hand, has a 1% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Geelong vs Essendon is at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, August 8 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Richmond vs St Kilda
We are tipping St Kilda to win its game against Richmond this week, with our model projecting a 77% win probability for the Saints. Richmond has a 23% chance of winning at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs St Kilda is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 9 at 1:20pm.
Brisbane vs Sydney
With a win probability of 84%, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, Sydney, has a projected win chance of 16%.
Brisbane vs Sydney is at The Gabba on Saturday, August 9 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Carlton vs Gold Coast
The Suns have a 74% chance of winning this week, compared to Carlton's 26% chance of victory. This makes Gold Coast the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
Carlton vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 9 at 7:35pm.
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle
Fremantle is favoured to win this one, with our model giving them a 78% chance, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 22% chance of causing an upset at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 9 at 8:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
GWS vs North Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, GWS is the team to beat in this game, with the Giants' win probability at 95%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 5% chance of pulling off an upset victory.
GWS vs North Melbourne is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, August 10 at 1:40pm.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs
Our model is tipping the Bulldogs in this match, with the Western Bulldogs given a 79% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 21% win probability.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, August 10 at 3:20pm.
West Coast vs Adelaide
The last game of Round 22 sees West Coast take on Adelaide at Optus Stadium.
We are tipping Adelaide with a win probability of 98%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of just 2%.
West Coast vs Adelaide is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, August 10 at 5:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 22 2025: Who to Tip
- Collingwood
- Geelong
- St Kilda
- Brisbane
- Gold Coast
- Fremantle
- GWS
- Bulldogs
- Adelaide
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 22 Games to Tip On
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies
- Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers
- Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints
- Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans
- Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns
- Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers
- GWS Giants vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
- West Coast Eagles vs Adelaide Crows
The AFL footy tips Round 22 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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