AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 21, 2025
Last updated: Jul 30, 2025, 1:16AM | Published: Jul 29, 2025, 2:16PM
Searching for data-driven AFL tips for Round 21? We have AFL Round 21 tips 2025 for every match this week.
Get an edge in AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 21 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
As we enter the final weekends of the 2025 AFL season, these expert tips have become even more important. Use the below Round 21 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 21 Expert Tips 2025
Footy fans have nine games to look forward to this week, beginning with the Bulldogs vs GWS on Thursday and concluding with Gold Coast vs Richmond on Saturday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 21 2025 a go-to resource for AFL tipsters across the country.
AFL Tips Round 21 2025: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 21, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Western Bulldogs vs GWS
Round 21 action kicks off with the Western Bulldogs facing GWS at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects the Western Bulldogs as having a 67% chance of winning, while GWS has a 33% projected win chance.
Western Bulldogs vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, July 31 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Adelaide vs Hawthorn
In this week's game between Adelaide and Hawthorn, the Crows are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 70% chance for Adelaide. Hawthorn, on the other hand, has a 30% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn is at Adelaide Oval on Friday, August 1 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Melbourne vs West Coast
We are tipping Melbourne to win its game against West Coast this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 93% win probability for the Demons. West Coast has a 7% chance of winning.
Melbourne vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 2 at 1:20pm.
Sydney vs Essendon
With a win probability of 92%, our tip for this game is Sydney, while its opponent, Essendon, has a projected win chance of 8%.
Sydney vs Essendon is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 2 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Collingwood vs Brisbane
The Magpies have a 63% chance of winning this week, compared to Brisbane's 37% chance of victory. This makes Collingwood the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Brisbane is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 2 at 7:35pm.
St Kilda vs North Melbourne
St Kilda is favoured to win here, with our model giving them a 76% chance, while North Melbourne enters the weekend with a 24% chance of causing an upset at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs North Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 3 at 1:40pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Geelong vs Port Adelaide
According to our predictive analytics model, Geelong is the team to beat in this game, with the Cats' win probability at 96%. Port Adelaide, on the other hand, has a 4% chance of pulling off an upset victory.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide is at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday, August 3 at 3:20pm.
Fremantle vs Carlton
Our model is tipping the Dockers in this match, with Fremantle given an 82% chance of winning, while Carlton has an 18% win probability.
Fremantle vs Carlton is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, August 3 at 5:10pm.
Gold Coast vs Richmond
The last game of Round 21 sees Gold Coast take on Richmond at People First Stadium.
We are tipping Gold Coast with a win probability of 97%, while Richmond is projected to have a win chance of 3%.
Gold Coast vs Richmond is at People First Stadium on Saturday, August 2 at 4:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 21 2025: Who to Tip
- Bulldogs
- Adelaide
- Melbourne
- Sydney
- Collingwood
- St Kilda
- Geelong
- Fremantle
- Gold Coast
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 21 Games to Tip On
- Western Bulldogs vs GWS Giants
- Adelaide Crows vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Melbourne Demons vs West Coast Eagles
- Sydney Swans vs Essendon Bombers
- Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions
- St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Geelong Cats vs Port Adelaide Power
- Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues
- Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers
The AFL footy tips Round 21 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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