AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 20, 2025
Last updated: Jul 23, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Jul 22, 2025, 2:15PM
Looking for a guide on your AFL tips for Round 20? We have AFL Round 20 tips 2025 for every game this week.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 20 of the 2025 AFL season, which come from simulating each AFL match 10,000 times.
As we approach the final weeks of the 2025 AFL season, these expert tips have become even more vital. Make the most of the below Round 20 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 20 Expert Tips 2025
Footy fans have nine games to watch this week, beginning with Hawthorn vs Carlton on Thursday and ending with St Kilda vs Melbourne on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 20 2025 a must-read resource for AFL fans across the country.
AFL Tips Round 20 2025: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 20, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Hawthorn vs Carlton
Round 20 AFL action kicks off with Hawthorn facing Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday night. Our model projects Hawthorn as having an 80% chance of winning, while Carlton has a 20% win probability.
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, July 24 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs
In Friday night's game between Essendon and the Essendon, the Bulldogs are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 96% chance for the Western Bulldogs. On the other hand, Essendon has a 4% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, July 25 at 7:20pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
GWS vs Sydney
We are tipping GWS to win its game against Sydney this week, with our model projecting a 72% win probability for the Giants. Sydney has a 28% chance of winning at Sydney Showground Stadium.
GWS vs Sydney is at Sydney Showground Stadium on Friday, July 25 at 7:50pm.
Gold Coast vs Brisbane
With a win probability of 54%, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, Gold Coast, has a projected win chance of 46%.
Gold Coast vs Brisbane is at People First Stadium on Saturday, July 26 at 1:20pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Fremantle vs West Coast
The Dockers have a 96% chance of winning this week, compared to West Coast's 4% chance of victory. This makes Fremantle the team to tip at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs West Coast is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, July 26 at 4:15pm.
North Melbourne vs Geelong
Geelong is favoured to win its Round 20 match, with our model giving them a 92% chance, while North Melbourne enters the weekend with an 8% chance of winning at Marvel Stadium.
North Melbourne vs Geelong is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 26 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Adelaide vs Port Adelaide
According to our predictive analytics model, Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Crows' win probability at 86%. Port Adelaide, on the other hand, has a 14% chance of winning.
Adelaide vs Port Adelaide is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 26 at 8:10pm.
Richmond vs Collingwood
We are tipping the Magpies in this game, with Collingwood given a 95% chance of winning, while Richmond has a 5% chance of an upset win.
Richmond vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, July 27 at 2:10pm.
St Kilda vs Melbourne
The last game of Round 20 sees St Kilda take on Melbourne at Marvel Stadium.
We are tipping Melbourne with a win probability of 53%, while St Kilda is projected to have a win chance of 47%.
St Kilda vs Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 27 at 3:20pm.
AFL Tipping Round 20 2025: Who to Tip
- Hawthorn
- Bulldogs
- GWS
- Brisbane
- Fremantle
- Geelong
- Adelaide
- Collingwood
- Melbourne
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 20 Games to Tip On
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Carlton Blues
- Essendon Bombers vs Western Bulldogs
- GWS Giants vs Sydney Swans
- Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions
- Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Geelong Cats
- Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power
- Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies
- St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons
The AFL footy tips Round 20 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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