AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 19, 2026
Last updated: Jul 14, 2026, 9:18PM | Published: Jul 12, 2026, 11:16AM
Searching for guidance on your AFL tips for Round 19? We have AFL Round 19 tips 2026 for every match this weekend.
Gain an edge in AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 19 of the 2026 AFL season, which come from simulating each AFL match-up 10,000 times.
AFL Round 19 Expert Tips 2026
AFL fans have nine games to enjoy this week, starting with Geelong vs St Kilda on Thursday and ending with Port Adelaide vs Fremantle on Saturday.
Our AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 19 2026 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 19 2026: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 19, 2026, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Geelong vs St Kilda
Round 19 AFL action kicks off with Geelong taking on St Kilda at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday. Our AFL model projects Geelong as having a 67% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 33% projected win chance.
Geelong vs St Kilda is at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, July 16 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Adelaide
In this week's game between Sydney and Adelaide, the Swans are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 64% chance for Sydney. Adelaide, on the other hand, has a 36% chance of winning.
Sydney vs Adelaide is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, July 17 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Collingwood vs Carlton
We are tipping Collingwood to win its game against Carlton this week, with our model projecting a 55% win probability for the Magpies. Carlton has a 45% chance of winning at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Carlton is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, July 18 at 7:35pm.
North Melbourne vs Melbourne
With a win probability of 66%, our tip for this game is Melbourne, while its opponent, North Melbourne, has a projected win chance of 34%.
North Melbourne vs Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 18 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
West Coast vs Brisbane
The Lions have an 88% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to West Coast's 12% chance of victory. This makes Brisbane the team to tip at Optus Stadium.
West Coast vs Brisbane is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, July 18 at 8:10pm.
Richmond vs Hawthorn
Hawthorn is favoured to win its Round 19 game, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 93% chance, while Richmond enters the weekend with a 7% chance of causing an upset at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Hawthorn is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, July 19 at 1:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs
According to our predictive analytics model, Gold Coast is the team to beat in this game, with the Suns' win probability at 53%. The Western Bulldogs, on the other hand, have a 47% chance of winning.
Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs is at Metricon Stadium on Sunday, July 19 at 3:15pm.
Essendon vs GWS
We are tipping the Giants in this match, with GWS given an 86% chance of winning, while Essendon has a 14% chance of an upset win.
Essendon vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 19 at 4:40pm.
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle
The last game of Round 19 sees Port Adelaide take on Fremantle at Adelaide Oval.
We are tipping Fremantle with a win probability of 92%, while Port Adelaide is projected to have a win chance of 8%.
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 18 at 1:15pm.
AFL Tipping Round 19 2026: Who to Tip
- Geelong
- Sydney
- Collingwood
- Melbourne
- Brisbane
- Hawthorn
- Gold Coast
- GWS
- Fremantle
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 19 Games to Tip On
- Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints
- Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons
- West Coast Eagles vs Brisbane Lions
- Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs
- Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants
- Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers
The AFL footy tips Round 19 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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