AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jun 29, 2026, 4:25PM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 11:18AM
Searching for AFL tips for Round 17? We have AFL Round 17 tips 2026 for every match this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you an advantage with AFL tipping for all the action in Round 17 of the 2026 season.
AFL Round 17 Expert Tips 2026
Round 17 of the AFL season features nine games, starting with Geelong vs Brisbane on Thursday and concluding with Essendon vs St Kilda on Sunday.
Our AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 17 2026 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
AFL Tips Round 17 2026: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 17, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Geelong vs Brisbane
Round 17 action kicks off with Geelong taking on Brisbane at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday. Our AFL model projects Geelong as having a 73% chance of winning, while Brisbane has a 27% projected win chance.
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs is at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, July 2 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs
In this week's game between Sydney and the Sydney, the Swans are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 73% chance for Sydney. On the other hand, the Western Bulldogs have a 27% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, July 3 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
West Coast vs Adelaide
We are tipping Adelaide to win its game against West Coast this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting an 80% win probability for the Crows. West Coast has a 20% chance of winning at Optus Stadium.
West Coast vs Adelaide is at Optus Stadium on Friday, July 3 at 8:10pm.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne
With a win probability of 70%, our tip for this match is Hawthorn, while its opponent, Melbourne, has a projected win chance of 30%.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne is at York Park on Saturday, July 4 at 1:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Richmond vs Carlton
The Blues have an 86% chance of winning this week, compared to Richmond's 14% chance of victory. This makes Carlton the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Carlton is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, July 4 at 7:35pm.
Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne
Port Adelaide is favoured to win its game this week, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 69% chance, while North Melbourne enters the weekend with a 31% chance of securing a win at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, July 5 at 4:40pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
GWS vs Fremantle
According to our predictive analytics model, Fremantle is the team to beat in this game, with the Dockers' win probability at 71%. GWS, on the other hand, has a 29% chance of winning.
GWS vs Fremantle is at Manuka Oval on Saturday, July 4 at 1:35pm.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood
Our model is tipping the Suns in this game, with Gold Coast given a 59% chance of winning, while Collingwood has a 41% win probability.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, July 4 at 4:15pm.
Essendon vs St Kilda
The last game of Round 17 sees Essendon take on St Kilda at Marvel Stadium.
We are tipping St Kilda with a win probability of 80%, while Essendon is projected to have a win chance of 20%.
Essendon vs St Kilda is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 5 at 3:15pm.
AFL Tipping Round 17 2026: Who to Tip
- Geelong
- Sydney
- Adelaide
- Hawthorn
- Carlton
- Port Adelaide
- Fremantle
- Gold Coast
- St Kilda
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 17 Games to Tip On
- Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions
- Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs
- West Coast Eagles vs Adelaide Crows
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons
- Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues
- Port Adelaide Power vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- GWS Giants vs Fremantle Dockers
- Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood Magpies
- Essendon Bombers vs St Kilda Saints
The AFL footy tips Round 17 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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