AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 17, 2025
Last updated: Jul 2, 2025, 1:43AM | Published: Jul 1, 2025, 2:15PM
Searching for the best AFL tips for Round 17? We have AFL Round 17 tips 2025 for every game this week.
Get the edge in AFL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 17 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game 10,000 times.
AFL Round 17 Expert Tips 2025
Footy fans have nine games to watch this week, beginning with North Melbourne vs Bulldogs on Thursday and concluding with Adelaide vs Melbourne on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 17 2025 a go-to resource for AFL fans.
AFL Tips Round 17 2025: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 17, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
North Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs
Round 17 action kicks off with North Melbourne facing the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Thursday. Our predictive analytics model projects the Western Bulldogs as having a 92% chance of winning, while North Melbourne has an 8% chance of getting what would be a surprising win.
North Melbourne vs Bulldogs is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, July 3 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Carlton vs Collingwood
In Friday night's game between Carlton and Collingwood, the Magpies are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 77% chance for Collingwood. On the other hand, Carlton has a 23% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Carlton vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, July 4 at 7:20pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
West Coast vs GWS
We are tipping GWS to win its game against West Coast this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting an 85% win probability for the Giants. West Coast has a 15% chance of winning.
West Coast vs GWS is at Optus Stadium on Friday, July 4 at 8:20pm.
Essendon vs Gold Coast
With a win probability of 75%, our tip for this game is Gold Coast, while its opponent, Essendon, has a projected win chance of 25%.
Essendon vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 5 at 12:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Geelong vs Richmond
The Cats have a 99% chance of winning this week, compared to Richmond's 1% chance of victory. This makes Geelong the team to tip at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Richmond is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, July 5 at 4:15pm.
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide
Brisbane is favoured to win this game, with our model giving them an 85% chance, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 15% chance of winning at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide is at The Gabba on Saturday, July 5 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
St Kilda vs Hawthorn
According to our predictive analytics model, Hawthorn is the team to beat in this game, with the Hawks' win probability at 72%. St Kilda, on the other hand, has a 28% chance of winning.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 5 at 7:40pm.
Sydney vs Fremantle
Our model is tipping the Swans in this game, with Sydney given a 62% chance of winning, while Fremantle has a 38% chance of an upset win.
Sydney vs Fremantle is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Sunday, July 6 at 1:10pm.
Adelaide vs Melbourne
The last game of Round 17 sees Adelaide take on Melbourne at Adelaide Oval.
We are tipping Adelaide with a win probability of 83%, while Melbourne is projected to have a win chance of 17%.
Adelaide vs Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, July 6 at 3:20pm.
AFL Tipping Round 17 2025: Who to Tip
- Bulldogs
- Collingwood
- GWS
- Gold Coast
- Geelong
- Brisbane
- Hawthorn
- Sydney
- Adelaide
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 17 Games to Tip On
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
- Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies
- West Coast Eagles vs GWS Giants
- Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns
- Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers
- Brisbane Lions vs Port Adelaide Power
- St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers
- Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons
The AFL footy tips Round 17 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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