AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 16, 2026
Last updated: Jun 28, 2026, 10:19AM | Published: Jun 21, 2026, 9:15AM
Looking for guidance with your AFL tips for Round 16? We have AFL Round 16 tips 2026 for every game this week.
Get an edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 16 of the 2026 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game 10,000 times.
AFL Round 16 Expert Tips 2026
There are seven games in Round 16 of the 2026 AFL season, starting with Brisbane vs Sydney on Thursday and finishing with North Melbourne vs Essendon on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 16 2026 a go-to resource for AFL fans.
AFL Tips Round 16 2026: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 16, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Brisbane vs Sydney
Round 16 action kicks off with Brisbane taking on Sydney at The Gabba on Thursday night. Our model projects Brisbane as having a 57% chance of winning, while Sydney has a 43% win probability.
Brisbane vs Sydney is at The Gabba on Thursday, June 25 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Hawthorn vs GWS
In this week's game between Hawthorn and GWS, the Hawks are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 76% chance for Hawthorn. GWS, on the other hand, has a 24% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Hawthorn vs GWS is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, June 26 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Carlton vs West Coast
We are tipping Carlton to win its game against West Coast this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting an 84% win probability for the Blues. West Coast has a 16% chance of winning.
Carlton vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, June 27 at 1:15pm.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide
With a win probability of 75%, our tip for this game is Adelaide, while its opponent, Port Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 25%.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, June 27 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Fremantle vs Gold Coast
The Dockers have an 84% chance of winning this week, compared to Gold Coast's 16% chance of victory. This makes Fremantle the team to tip at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Gold Coast is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, June 28 at 5:10pm.
Collingwood vs Richmond
Collingwood is favoured to win its game this week, with our predictive analytics model giving them an 85% chance, while Richmond enters the weekend with a 15% chance of causing an upset at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Richmond is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, June 27 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
North Melbourne vs Essendon
According to our predictive analytics model, North Melbourne is the team to beat in this game, with the Kangaroos' win probability at 61%. Essendon, on the other hand, has a 39% chance of winning.
North Melbourne vs Essendon is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, June 28 at 3:15pm.
AFL Tipping Round 16 2026: Who to Tip
- Brisbane
- Hawthorn
- Carlton
- Adelaide
- Fremantle
- Collingwood
- North Melbourne
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 16 Games to Tip On
- Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans
- Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants
- Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles
- Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows
- Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns
- Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers
AFL Round 16 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Geelong Cats
- Melbourne Demons
- St Kilda Saints
- Western Bulldogs
The AFL footy tips Round 16 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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