AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 16, 2025
Last updated: Jun 25, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Jun 24, 2025, 2:15PM
Searching for data-driven AFL tips for Round 16? We have AFL Round 16 tips 2025 for every game this week.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you an advantage with AFL tipping for each match in Round 16 of the 2025 season.
AFL Round 16 Expert Tips 2025
AFL fans have seven games to enjoy this week, starting with Port Adelaide vs Carlton on Thursday and concluding with Fremantle vs St Kilda on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 16 2025 a go-to resource for AFL fans across the country.
AFL Tips Round 16 2025: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 16, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton
Round 16 AFL action kicks off with Port Adelaide facing Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Carlton as having a 53% chance of winning, while Port Adelaide has a 47% win probability.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs is at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, June 26 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs
In this week's game between Sydney and the Sydney, the Bulldogs are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 68% chance for the Western Bulldogs. Sydney, on the other hand, has a 32% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, June 27 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Gold Coast vs Melbourne
We are tipping Gold Coast to win its game against Melbourne this week, with our model projecting a 74% win probability for the Suns. Melbourne has a 26% chance of winning at People First Stadium.
Gold Coast vs Melbourne is at People First Stadium on Saturday, June 28 at 1:20pm.
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne
With a win probability of 87%, our tip for this match is Hawthorn, while its opponent, North Melbourne, has a projected win chance of 13%.
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne is at University of Tasmania Stadium on Saturday, June 28 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Collingwood vs West Coast
The Magpies have a 98% chance of winning this week, compared to West Coast's 2% chance of victory. This makes Collingwood the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
Collingwood vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, June 28 at 7:35pm.
Richmond vs Adelaide
Adelaide is favoured to win this game, with our model giving them a 91% chance, while Richmond enters the weekend with a 9% chance of securing a win at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Adelaide is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, June 29 at 3:20pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Fremantle vs St Kilda
According to our predictive analytics model, Fremantle is the team to beat in this game, with the Dockers' win probability at 79%. St Kilda, on the other hand, has a 21% chance of winning.
Fremantle vs St Kilda is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, June 29 at 5:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 16 2025: Who to Tip
- Carlton
- Bulldogs
- Gold Coast
- Hawthorn
- Collingwood
- Adelaide
- Fremantle
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 16 Games to Tip On
- Port Adelaide Power vs Carlton Blues
- Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs
- Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons
- Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles
- Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows
- Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints
AFL Round 16 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Brisbane Lions
- Essendon Bombers
- Geelong Cats
- GWS Giants
The AFL footy tips Round 16 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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