AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 31, 2026, 1:16PM | Published: May 24, 2026, 9:20AM
Looking for data-driven AFL tips for Round 12? We have AFL Round 12 tips 2026 for every game this weekend.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping leagues with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 12 of the 2026 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match thousands of times.
AFL Round 12 Expert Tips 2026
There are seven games in Round 12 of the 2026 AFL season, beginning with St Kilda vs Hawthorn on Thursday and concluding with West Coast vs Essendon on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 12 2026 a go-to resource for AFL fans of every level.
AFL Tips Round 12 2026: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 12, 2026, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn
Round 12 action kicks off with St Kilda playing Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night. Our model projects Hawthorn as having a 69% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 31% win probability.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, May 28 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Carlton vs Geelong
In this week's game between Carlton and Geelong, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 72% chance for Geelong. Carlton, on the other hand, has a 28% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Carlton vs Geelong is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, May 29 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2026 Tips
Sydney vs Richmond
We are tipping Sydney to win its game against Richmond this week, with our model projecting a 95% win probability for the Swans. Richmond has a 5% chance of winning at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
Sydney vs Richmond is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 30 at 1:15pm.
Brisbane vs Fremantle
With a win probability of 61%, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, Fremantle, has a projected win chance of 39%.
Brisbane vs Fremantle is at The Gabba on Saturday, May 30 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood
The Western Bulldogs have a 59% chance of winning this week, compared to Collingwood's 41% chance of victory. This makes the Bulldogs the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 30 at 7:35pm.
Melbourne vs GWS
GWS is favoured to win this one, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 52% chance, while Melbourne enters the weekend with a 48% chance of securing a win at Traeger Park.
Melbourne vs GWS is at Traeger Park on Sunday, May 31 at 3:15pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
West Coast vs Essendon
According to our predictive analytics model, West Coast is the team to beat in this game, with the Eagles' win probability at 62%. Essendon, on the other hand, has a 38% chance of winning.
West Coast vs Essendon is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, May 31 at 7:20pm.
AFL Tipping Round 12 2026: Who to Tip
- Hawthorn
- Geelong
- Sydney
- Brisbane
- Bulldogs
- GWS
- West Coast
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 12 Games to Tip On
- St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats
- Sydney Swans vs Richmond Tigers
- Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers
- Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies
- Melbourne Demons vs GWS Giants
- West Coast Eagles vs Essendon Bombers
AFL Round 12 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Adelaide Crows
- Gold Coast Suns
- North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Port Adelaide Power
The AFL footy tips Round 12 2026 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2026 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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