AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 21, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: May 20, 2025, 2:15PM
Searching for help with your AFL tips for Round 11? We have AFL Round 11 tips 2025 for every match this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to assist with AFL tipping for each match in Round 11 of the 2025 season.
AFL Round 11 Expert Tips 2025
Footy fans have nine games to look forward to this week, beginning with Geelong vs Bulldogs on Thursday and concluding with St Kilda vs Gold Coast on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 11 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
AFL Tips Round 11 2025: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 11, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
Round 11 action kicks off with Geelong facing the Western Bulldogs at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday night. Our model projects Geelong as having a 56% chance of winning, while the Bulldogs have a 44% projected win chance.
Geelong vs Bulldogs is at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, May 22 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Essendon vs Richmond
In this week's game between Essendon and Richmond, the Bombers are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 76% chance for Essendon. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 24% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Essendon vs Richmond is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, May 23 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Carlton vs GWS
We are tipping Carlton to win its game against GWS this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 56% win probability for the Blues. GWS has a 44% chance of winning.
Carlton vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 24 at 12:35pm.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane
With a win probability of 67%, our tip for this match is Hawthorn, while its opponent, Brisbane, has a projected win chance of 33%.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 24 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
North Melbourne vs Collingwood
The Magpies have an 88% chance of winning this week, compared to North Melbourne's 12% chance of victory. This makes Collingwood the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
North Melbourne vs Collingwood is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 24 at 7:35pm.
Fremantle vs Port Adelaide
Fremantle is favoured to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 77% chance, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 23% chance of causing an upset at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Port Adelaide is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, May 24 at 8:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Adelaide vs West Coast
According to our predictive analytics model, Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Crows' win probability at 98%. West Coast, on the other hand, has a 2% chance of winning.
Adelaide vs West Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, May 25 at 1:10pm.
Melbourne vs Sydney
Our model is tipping the Demons in this match, with Melbourne given a 51% chance of winning, while Sydney has a 49% win probability.
Melbourne vs Sydney is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 25 at 3:20pm.
St Kilda vs Gold Coast
The last game of Round 11 sees St Kilda take on Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium.
We are tipping Gold Coast with a win probability of 67%, while St Kilda is projected to have a win chance of 33%.
St Kilda vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, May 25 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 11 2025: Who to Tip
- Geelong
- Essendon
- Carlton
- Hawthorn
- Collingwood
- Fremantle
- Adelaide
- Melbourne
- Gold Coast
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 11 Games to Tip On
- Geelong Cats vs Western Bulldogs
- Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers
- Carlton Blues vs GWS Giants
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies
- Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power
- Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles
- Melbourne Demons vs Sydney Swans
- St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns
The AFL footy tips Round 11 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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