AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 14, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: May 13, 2025, 2:15PM
To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 10, we have AFL Round 10 tips 2025 for every match this weekend.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
AFL Round 10 Expert Tips 2025
There are nine games in Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Gold Coast vs Hawthorn on Thursday and ending with West Coast vs St Kilda on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 10 2025 a must-read resource for AFL fans.
AFL Tips Round 10 2025: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 10, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
Round 10 action kicks off with Gold Coast facing Hawthorn at Metricon Stadium on Thursday night. Our AFL model projects Gold Coast as having a 60% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 40% projected win chance.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn is at Metricon Stadium on Thursday, May 15 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Carlton
In this week's game between Sydney and Carlton, the Swans are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 55% chance for Sydney. Carlton, on the other hand, has a 45% chance of winning.
Sydney vs Carlton is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, May 16 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Collingwood vs Adelaide
We are tipping Collingwood to win its game against Adelaide this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 62% win probability for the Magpies. Adelaide has a 38% chance of winning at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Adelaide is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 17 at 1:20pm.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong
With a win probability of 59%, our tip for this game is Geelong, while its opponent, Port Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 41%.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, May 17 at 4:15pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
GWS vs Fremantle
The Giants have a 74% chance of winning this week, compared to Fremantle's 26% chance of victory. This makes GWS the team to tip at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Fremantle is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, May 17 at 4:15pm.
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon
The Western Bulldogs are favourites to win their Round 10 match, with our model giving them an 81% chance, while Essendon enters the weekend with a 19% chance of causing an upset at Marvel Stadium.
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 17 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Richmond vs North Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, North Melbourne is the team to beat in this game, with the Kangaroos' win probability at 63%. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 37% chance of winning.
Richmond vs North Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 18 at 1:10pm.
Brisbane vs Melbourne
Our model is tipping the Lions in this match, with Brisbane given an 87% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 13% chance of an upset win.
Brisbane vs Melbourne is at The Gabba on Sunday, May 18 at 3:20pm.
West Coast vs St Kilda
The last game of Round 10 sees West Coast take on St Kilda at Optus Stadium.
We are tipping St Kilda with a win probability of 71%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of 29%.
West Coast vs St Kilda is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, May 18 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 10 2025: Who to Tip
- Gold Coast
- Sydney
- Collingwood
- Geelong
- GWS
- Bulldogs
- North Melbourne
- Brisbane
- St Kilda
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 10 Games to Tip On
- Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues
- Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows
- Port Adelaide Power vs Geelong Cats
- GWS Giants vs Fremantle Dockers
- Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers
- Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons
- West Coast Eagles vs St Kilda Saints
The AFL footy tips Round 10 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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