AFL Expert Tips and Predictions Finals Week 1, 2025
Last updated: Sep 3, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Sep 2, 2025, 2:15PM
Looking for AFL tips for the first week of finals? We have AFL Week 1 finals tips 2025 for every game this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you some help with AFL tipping for each match in the first week of finals of the 2025 season.
AFL Finals Week 1 Expert Tips 2025
There is of course four games across the first week of finals of the 2025 AFL season, beginning with Adelaide vs Collingwood on Thursday and concluding with Fremantle vs Gold Coast on Saturday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL finals tips 2025 a go-to resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
AFL Tips Finals Week 1 2025: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL clash across the first week of finals, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Adelaide vs Collingwood
2023 Finals action in the AFL kicks off with Adelaide playing Collingwood at Adelaide Oval on Thursday. Our AFL model projects Adelaide as having a 67% chance of winning, while Collingwood has a 33% win probability.
Adelaide vs Collingwood is at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, September 4 at 7:40pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Geelong vs Brisbane
In this week's game between Geelong and Brisbane, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 62% chance for Geelong. On the other hand, Brisbane has a 38% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Geelong vs Brisbane is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, September 5 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
GWS vs Hawthorn
We are tipping GWS to win its game against Hawthorn this week, with our model projecting a 58% win probability for the Giants. Hawthorn has a 42% chance of winning at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Hawthorn is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, September 6 at 3:15pm.
Fremantle vs Gold Coast
With a win probability of 58%, our tip for this game is Fremantle, while its opponent, Gold Coast, has a projected win chance of 42%.
Fremantle vs Gold Coast is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, September 6 at 7:35pm.
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AFL Tipping Finals Week 1 2025: Who to Tip
- Adelaide
- Geelong
- GWS
- Fremantle
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Finals Game
AFL Finals Week 1 Games to Tip On
- Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies
- Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions
- GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns
The AFL finals tips 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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