Adelaide vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024
Last updated: Jul 13, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Jul 8, 2024, 1:04AM
Adelaide will face St Kilda in AFL Round 18 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Adelaide vs St Kilda game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Adelaide vs St Kilda
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Adelaide-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 59% chance of beating the Saints at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.62, St Kilda $2.58
- Line: Adelaide -10.5 ($2.02), St Kilda +10.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 151.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.82
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Adelaide at $1.62 and St Kilda at $2.58.
The Crows are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $2.02 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Saints (+10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 151.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.02 and odds for the under at $1.82.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+10.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 151.5 points has a 55% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $2.58 with Betfair (2.3% edge)
- Line: St Kilda +10.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 151.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Adelaide vs St Kilda betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option because of the 2.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs St Kilda at Adelaide Oval on Saturday has Adelaide winning 80-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Adelaide vs St Kilda on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers
Searching for Adelaide vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs St Kilda.
Walker has an 8.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has an 88.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 8.4% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 7.0% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.4% probability
- Elliott Himmelberg: 3.9% probability
- Josh Rachele: 3.8% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 6.2% probability
- Tim Membrey: 4.8% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 4.4% probability
- Dan Butler: 4.0% probability
- Mason Wood: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 88.8% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 85.2% probability
- Ben Keays: 67.4% probability
- Josh Rachele: 66.2% probability
- Elliott Himmelberg: 62.4% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 80.9% probability
- Tim Membrey: 72.0% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 69.1% probability
- Mason Wood: 63.3% probability
- Dan Butler: 62.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Adelaide vs St Kilda match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Adelaide vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Crows and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Adelaide vs St Kilda predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
