Adelaide vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024

Adelaide will play St Kilda in AFL Round 18 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Adelaide vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Adelaide vs St Kilda

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Adelaide-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 59% chance of defeating the Saints in Round 18 of the 2024 AFL season.

Adelaide vs St Kilda: Odds

The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Adelaide $1.61, St Kilda $2.60
  • Line: Adelaide -10.5 ($1.93), St Kilda +10.5 ($1.88)
  • Total (Over/Under 156.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.82

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Adelaide at $1.61 and St Kilda at $2.60.

The Crows are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.93 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Saints (+10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.88.

The over/under for Adelaide vs St Kilda has been set at 156.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.89 and odds for the under at $1.82.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+10.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 156.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Game

Adelaide vs St Kilda: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: St Kilda at $2.60 with Betfair (2.6% edge)
  • Line: St Kilda +10.5 at $1.88 with Betfair (55% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 156.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (54% probability)

Today's Adelaide vs St Kilda best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the 2.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Adelaide vs St Kilda: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs St Kilda at Adelaide Oval this Saturday has Adelaide winning 80-73.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Adelaide vs St Kilda on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Adelaide vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers

Searching for Adelaide vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs St Kilda.

Walker has an 8.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has an 88.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips


  • Taylor Walker: 8.4% probability
  • Darcy Fogarty: 7.0% probability
  • Ben Keays: 4.4% probability
  • Elliott Himmelberg: 3.9% probability
  • Josh Rachele: 3.8% probability

St Kilda

  • Jack Higgins: 6.2% probability
  • Tim Membrey: 4.8% probability
  • Cooper Sharman: 4.4% probability
  • Dan Butler: 4.0% probability
  • Mason Wood: 4.0% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips


  • Taylor Walker: 88.8% probability
  • Darcy Fogarty: 85.2% probability
  • Ben Keays: 67.4% probability
  • Josh Rachele: 66.2% probability
  • Elliott Himmelberg: 62.4% probability

St Kilda

  • Jack Higgins: 80.9% probability
  • Tim Membrey: 72.0% probability
  • Cooper Sharman: 69.1% probability
  • Mason Wood: 63.3% probability
  • Dan Butler: 62.2% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Adelaide vs St Kilda match at Adelaide Oval.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Adelaide vs St Kilda: Preview

The AFL Round 18 clash between the Crows and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.

  • Teams: Adelaide vs St Kilda
  • Date: Saturday 13 July 2024
  • Time: 7:30pm AEST
  • Venue: Adelaide Oval

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Adelaide vs St Kilda predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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