Adelaide vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30AM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 10:30AM
Adelaide will face Richmond in AFL Round 22 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, commencing at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Adelaide vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 97% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 22 of the 2026 AFL season.
Adelaide vs Richmond: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.02, Richmond $13.00
- Line: Adelaide -57.5 ($1.91), Richmond +57.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.02 and Richmond at $13.00.
The Crows are 57.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+57.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (-57.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 164.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Adelaide vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.02 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide -57.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 164.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Our Adelaide vs Richmond betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Richmond at Adelaide Oval this Saturday is Adelaide winning 114-51.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Adelaide vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Adelaide vs Richmond: Goal Kickers
Searching for Adelaide vs Richmond goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Richmond.
Walker has a 9.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has a 93.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 9.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 9.1% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 9.0% probability
- Ben Keays: 6.6% probability
- Jordan Dawson: 6.4% probability
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 5.9% probability
- Sam Lalor: 5.3% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 3.5% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.0% probability
- Seth Campbell: 2.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 93.0% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 91.4% probability
- Josh Rachele: 91.4% probability
- Ben Keays: 84.4% probability
- Jordan Dawson: 81.0% probability
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 81.5% probability
- Sam Lalor: 77.5% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 60.6% probability
- Tim Taranto: 57.0% probability
- Steely Green: 44.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Adelaide vs Richmond game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Crows and Tigers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Richmond predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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