Adelaide vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2026
Last updated: May 16, 2026, 3:08AM | Published: May 10, 2026, 11:16AM
Adelaide will sqaure off with North Melbourne in AFL Round 10 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 1:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs North Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Adelaide vs North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 68% chance of defeating the Kangaroos at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.47, North Melbourne $2.70
- Line: Adelaide -13.5 ($1.91), North Melbourne +13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.47 and North Melbourne at $2.70.
The Crows are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Kangaroos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Kangaroos (+13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 177.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (-13.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 177.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.47 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide -13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 177.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Adelaide vs North Melbourne betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs North Melbourne at Adelaide Oval on Saturday is Adelaide winning 95-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs North Melbourne match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Adelaide vs North Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Searching for Adelaide vs North Melbourne goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs North Melbourne.
Larkey has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Kangaroos star has a 92.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Riley Thilthorpe: 8.7% probability
- Josh Rachele: 6.6% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.1% probability
- Ben Keays: 5.0% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 5.0% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 8.8% probability
- Paul Curtis: 6.9% probability
- Cooper Trembath: 6.0% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 3.8% probability
- Jack Darling: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Riley Thilthorpe: 92.7% probability
- Josh Rachele: 87.6% probability
- Izak Rankine: 79.4% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 75.7% probability
- Ben Keays: 75.7% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 92.9% probability
- Paul Curtis: 86.5% probability
- Cooper Trembath: 81.7% probability
- Jack Darling: 66.9% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 66.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Adelaide vs North Melbourne match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Crows and Kangaroos at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 1:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Adelaide vs North Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 16 May 2026
- Time: 1:15pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs North Melbourne predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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