Adelaide vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2025
Last updated: Jul 6, 2025, 5:15AM | Published: Jul 2, 2025, 2:00AM
Adelaide will sqaure off with Melbourne in AFL Round 17 action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Adelaide vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Crows an 84% chance of defeating the Demons at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.20, Melbourne $4.80
- Line: Adelaide -28.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +28.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.20 and Melbourne at $4.80.
The Crows are listed as 28.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+28.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+28.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Adelaide vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.20 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +28.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Adelaide vs Melbourne best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Melbourne at Adelaide Oval on Sunday is Adelaide winning 98-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Adelaide vs Melbourne match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Adelaide vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Looking for Adelaide vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Melbourne.
Walker has a 7.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has an 87.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 7.6% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.4% probability
- Josh Rachele: 6.0% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.8% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 5.6% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.6% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 4.4% probability
- Jake Melksham: 4.1% probability
- Christian Petracca: 2.8% probability
- Matthew Jefferson: 2.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 87.3% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 81.7% probability
- Izak Rankine: 81.6% probability
- Josh Rachele: 80.7% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 80.4% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 80.4% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 73.2% probability
- Jake Melksham: 68.2% probability
- Christian Petracca: 58.8% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 52.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Adelaide vs Melbourne game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Crows and Demons at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Melbourne predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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