Adelaide vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2025
Last updated: Aug 1, 2025, 9:41AM | Published: Jul 27, 2025, 10:10PM
Adelaide will take on Hawthorn in AFL Round 21 action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 67% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 21 of the 2025 AFL season.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.50, Hawthorn $2.68
- Line: Adelaide -12.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.50 and Hawthorn at $2.68.
The Crows are listed as 12.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+12.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.50 with Bet365
- Line: Hawthorn +12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Adelaide vs Hawthorn betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval this Friday is Adelaide prevailing 85-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs Hawthorn match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Adelaide vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Crows and Hawks at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Hawthorn predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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