Adelaide vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 13, 2026
Last updated: Jun 4, 2026, 9:30AM | Published: May 31, 2026, 10:30AM
Adelaide will face the favoured Geelong in AFL Round 13 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Adelaide vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Adelaide vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 58% chance of defeating the Crows at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $2.80, Geelong $1.44
- Line: Adelaide +12.5 ($1.91), Geelong -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $2.80 and Geelong at $1.44.
The Crows are 12.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cats (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Crows (+12.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 167.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $2.80 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide +12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Adelaide vs Geelong betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Crows to win is our preferred option due to the 6.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Geelong at Adelaide Oval this Thursday is Geelong winning 86-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs Geelong match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Adelaide vs Geelong game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 13 clash between the Crows and Cats at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Geelong predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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