Adelaide vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 3, 2026, 8:11AM | Published: Mar 29, 2026, 8:21AM
Adelaide will sqaure off with Fremantle in AFL Round 4 action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, commencing at 7:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Fremantle game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Adelaide vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model is unable to split the two teams, giving both Adelaide and Fremantle an equal 50% chance of winning in Round 4 of the AFL season.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $2.20, Fremantle $1.68
- Line: Adelaide +6.5 ($1.91), Fremantle -6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $2.20 and Fremantle at $1.68.
The Crows are 6.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dockers (-6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 173.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 173.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $2.20 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 173.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
These Adelaide vs Fremantle predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Fremantle at Adelaide Oval this Friday is Adelaide winning 87-86.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Adelaide vs Fremantle match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Adelaide vs Fremantle: Goal Scorers
Looking for Adelaide vs Fremantle goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Josh Treacy is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Fremantle.
Treacy has a 6.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Dockers star has an 83.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Riley Thilthorpe: 5.8% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.0% probability
- Taylor Walker: 4.6% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 4.6% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.4% probability
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 6.5% probability
- Shai Bolton: 6.0% probability
- Jye Amiss: 5.6% probability
- Patrick Voss: 5.4% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 4.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Riley Thilthorpe: 82.2% probability
- Izak Rankine: 77.6% probability
- Taylor Walker: 75.7% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 74.1% probability
- Ben Keays: 73.1% probability
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 84.6% probability
- Josh Treacy: 83.8% probability
- Jye Amiss: 82.0% probability
- Patrick Voss: 77.3% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 71.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Adelaide vs Fremantle game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Crows and Dockers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:15pm AEDT on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Fremantle predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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