Adelaide vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 3, 2026, 1:35AM | Published: Mar 29, 2026, 8:21AM
Adelaide will face Fremantle in AFL Round 4 action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, commencing at 7:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Adelaide vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Adelaide vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 52% chance of beating the Dockers in Round 4 of the 2026 AFL season.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.97, Fremantle $1.85
- Line: Adelaide +1.5 ($1.91), Fremantle -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.97 and Fremantle at $1.85.
The Crows are 1.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dockers (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 175.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.97 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Adelaide vs Fremantle betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Fremantle at Adelaide Oval on Friday is Adelaide winning 87-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Adelaide vs Fremantle match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Adelaide vs Fremantle: Goal Kickers
Looking for Adelaide vs Fremantle goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Josh Treacy is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Fremantle.
Treacy has a 6.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Dockers star has an 83.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Riley Thilthorpe: 5.8% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.0% probability
- Taylor Walker: 4.6% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 4.6% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.4% probability
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 6.5% probability
- Shai Bolton: 6.0% probability
- Jye Amiss: 5.6% probability
- Patrick Voss: 5.4% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 4.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Riley Thilthorpe: 82.2% probability
- Izak Rankine: 77.6% probability
- Taylor Walker: 75.7% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 74.1% probability
- Ben Keays: 73.1% probability
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 84.6% probability
- Josh Treacy: 83.8% probability
- Jye Amiss: 82.0% probability
- Patrick Voss: 77.3% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 71.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Adelaide vs Fremantle match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Crows and Dockers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:15pm AEDT on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Fremantle predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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