Adelaide vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2026
Last updated: Jul 23, 2026, 10:01AM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 9:30AM
Adelaide will sqaure off with Collingwood in AFL Round 20 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Adelaide vs Collingwood game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Adelaide vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 70% chance of winning against the Magpies at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.38, Collingwood $3.10
- Line: Adelaide -17.5 ($1.91), Collingwood +17.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.38 and Collingwood at $3.10.
The Crows are 17.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Magpies (+17.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (+17.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 164.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $3.10 with Bet365
- Line: Collingwood +17.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Adelaide vs Collingwood best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Collingwood at Adelaide Oval this Thursday is Adelaide winning 89-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Adelaide vs Collingwood: Goal Kickers
Searching for Adelaide vs Collingwood goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Josh Rachele is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Collingwood.
Rachele has a 7.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Crows star has an 87.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Josh Rachele: 7.5% probability
- Taylor Walker: 6.9% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 6.5% probability
- Jordan Dawson: 4.8% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.7% probability
Collingwood
- Tim Membrey: 7.4% probability
- Daniel McStay: 7.4% probability
- Nick Daicos: 5.1% probability
- Angus Anderson: 4.5% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 87.9% probability
- Josh Rachele: 87.9% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 82.9% probability
- Jordan Dawson: 76.1% probability
- Ben Keays: 76.1% probability
Collingwood
- Tim Membrey: 89.3% probability
- Daniel McStay: 87.7% probability
- Nick Daicos: 78.4% probability
- Angus Anderson: 71.8% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 67.8% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Adelaide vs Collingwood game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Crows and Magpies at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Adelaide vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 23 July 2026
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Collingwood predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
