Adelaide vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 4, 2025, 9:40AM | Published: Aug 27, 2025, 11:05PM
Adelaide will face Collingwood in AFL Finals Week 1 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Collingwood game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Adelaide vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 60% chance of beating the Magpies in the first week of AFL finals.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.77, Collingwood $2.10
- Line: Adelaide -6.5 ($1.91), Collingwood +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.77 and Collingwood at $2.10.
The Crows are listed as 6.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Magpies (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 160.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (-6.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 160.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.77 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide -6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 160.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Adelaide vs Collingwood betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Collingwood at Adelaide Oval on Thursday is Adelaide winning 83-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Adelaide vs Collingwood match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Finals clash between the Crows and Magpies at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Adelaide vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 4 September 2025
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Collingwood predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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