Adelaide vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2026
Last updated: Apr 7, 2026, 5:20AM | Published: Apr 6, 2026, 6:25AM
Adelaide will face Carlton in AFL Round 5 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Adelaide vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Adelaide vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows an 86% chance of defeating the Blues in Round 5 of the 2026 AFL season.
Adelaide vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $1.14, Carlton $5.75
- Line: Adelaide -34.5 ($1.91), Carlton +34.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Adelaide at $1.14 and Carlton at $5.75.
The Crows are 34.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+34.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 172.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Adelaide and Carlton have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 172.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Adelaide vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.14 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +34.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 172.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Adelaide vs Carlton predictions are based on complex modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Adelaide vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Thursday is Adelaide winning 102-68.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Adelaide vs Carlton match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Adelaide vs Carlton game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Adelaide vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Crows and Blues at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Adelaide vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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