Adelaide vs Carlton Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 5, 2023
Apr 10, 2023, 11:11PM
Adelaide takes on Carlton in AFL Round 5 action at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Adelaide vs Carlton, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Adelaide vs Carlton
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Adelaide-Carlton AFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 55% chance of defeating the Crows in Round 5 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Crows vs Blues
Adelaide vs Carlton Latest Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Adelaide $2.08, Carlton $1.92
- Line: Adelaide +1.5 ($2.00), Carlton -1.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Adelaide to win at $2.08 and Carlton to win at $1.92.
The Crows are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 171.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 171.5 points has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Adelaide vs Carlton AFL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.92 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Line: Carlton -1.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 171.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Adelaide vs Carlton best bets are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Adelaide vs Carlton AFL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Adelaide vs Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Thursday has Carlton winning 88-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Adelaide vs Carlton on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Adelaide vs Carlton Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Adelaide vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Adelaide vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 10.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Blues star has a 95.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 7.2% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.6% probability
- Izak Rankine: 6.0% probability
- Josh Rachele: 5.3% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 3.8% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 10.3% probability
- Harry McKay: 7.5% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 3.7% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.2% probability
- Zac Fisher: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 89.1% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 84.7% probability
- Izak Rankine: 83.5% probability
- Josh Rachele: 78.7% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 66.3% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 95.5% probability
- Harry McKay: 90.6% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 66.7% probability
- Corey Durdin: 59.3% probability
- Jack Silvagni: 57.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Adelaide vs Carlton match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
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Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2023
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Crows and Blues at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Adelaide vs Carlton
- Date: Thursday 13 April 2023
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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