Knights vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 20, 2025
Last updated: Jul 20, 2025, 6:05AM | Published: Jul 13, 2025, 11:25PM
The Knights will take on the favoured Warriors in NRL Round 20 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, with kick-off at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Warriors game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Newcastle vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 66% chance of beating the Knights in Round 20 of the 2025 NRL season.
Knights vs Warriors: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.85, Warriors $1.45
- Line: Knights +7.5 ($1.91), Warriors -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.85 and the Warriors at $1.45.
The Knights are 7.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Warriors (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Knights vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Knights at $2.85 with Bet365
- Line: Knights +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Knights vs Warriors betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Knights vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Warriors at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday is the Warriors winning 24-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Warriors match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Warriors try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs New Zealand.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 10.8% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 54.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 9.4% probability
- Bradman Best: 5.6% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 5.5% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.9% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 3.9% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 10.8% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 8.7% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 5.6% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 4.3% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 4.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 48.6% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 33.5% probability
- Bradman Best: 32.5% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 26.7% probability
- Dane Gagai: 25.9% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 54.6% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 46.9% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 34.0% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 27.6% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 26.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Warriors match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 20 clash between the Knights and Warriors at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Sunday 20 July 2025
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Warriors predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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