Gold Coast vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 14, 2025, 9:11PM | Published: May 12, 2025, 2:20AM
Gold Coast will take on Hawthorn in AFL Round 10 action at Metricon Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Suns a 66% chance of defeating the Hawks in Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Metricon Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $1.58, Hawthorn $2.40
- Line: Gold Coast -10.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 185.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Gold Coast at $1.58 and Hawthorn at $2.40.
The Suns are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 185.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (-10.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 185.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $1.58 with Bet365
- Line: Gold Coast -10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 185.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Gold Coast vs Hawthorn predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn at Metricon Stadium on Thursday is Gold Coast winning 97-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Searching for Gold Coast vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Hawthorn.
King has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Metricon Stadium, while the Suns star has a 92.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 8.0% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 5.3% probability
- Ben Long: 5.1% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.2% probability
- Jed Walter: 3.9% probability
Hawthorn
- Nick Watson: 4.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.6% probability
- Calsher Dear: 4.6% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 92.2% probability
- Ben Long: 80.2% probability
- Malcolm Rosas: 78.6% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 72.7% probability
- Jed Walter: 71.1% probability
Hawthorn
- Mabior Chol: 78.9% probability
- Nick Watson: 78.5% probability
- Dylan Moore: 76.2% probability
- Calsher Dear: 74.8% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 73.8% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Suns and Hawks at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
- Date: Thursday 15 May 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Gold Coast vs Hawthorn predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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