NBA November: Profit, Profit, Profit
Last updated: Dec 18, 2018, 10:04AM | Published: Dec 4, 2018, 1:25AM
After the launch of Stats Insider's NBA projection model in October, the machine learning algorithms of enjoyed a very successful November following the unexpected scoring explosion to start the season that baffled everyone, from punters to bookmakers.
All three major markets projected by the Stats Insider model saw significant profit in November (using our $25/$100 bet reporting method*), registering a 60% total strike rate across 104 value plays. Keep in mind that Stats Insider isn't a tipping service guaranteeing daily winners, but a tool to help bettors identify where the value is against bookmaker markets. Take advantage of our Premium FREE TRIAL OFFER today.
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This was highlighted by the success of our Green Smileys, the strongest value identified. In the month of November, our Green Smiley plays finished with a 9-4 win/loss ratio on Lines/Spreads (69.23% Strike Rate), and 2-1 win-loss ratio on Totals (66.66% Strike Rate).
These wins included Memphis defeating Utah by 10 points as 4-pt underdogs, Phoenix's massive blowout of San Antonio despite opening as 2-pt underdogs, and Atlanta's surprising win over Charlotte as 6.5-pt underdogs on November 12.
The model's Head-to-Head win/loss record was small but nevertheless successful, going 2-0 on H2H plays, recording a Profit Over Turnover (POT) of 85%.
The Spread/Line market is where the Stats Insider algorithm identified the most regular value, with 77 plays in total across the month of November, for 44 wins to 33 losses, equaling a strike rate of 57.14% resulting in a POT of nearly 17%:
The Stats Insider model gained similar traction on the Totals market, steadily building throughout November to finish with a 16-9 win/loss record, for a strike rate of a healthy 64% resulting in a 13.57% POT for the month.
All in all, a successful first full month of the NBA season, with plenty more NBA action still to come. You can see all Stats Insider's prediction results for free, any time.
* NOTE: this is for reporting purposes only. We do not recommend any particular staking methods. Only bet within your means, and always gamble responsibly.
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