AFL Betting Tips and Odds for Round 22, 2022

Last updated: Aug 11, 2022, 10:22PM | Published: Aug 11, 2022, 11:27AM

Round 22 of the 2022 AFL season is here, and Stats Insider has AFL betting tips to help you make the most of this weekend's action.

After simulating every Round 22 AFL game 10,000 times, we have picked the AFL best bets for punters this week.

If you're looking for the best AFL betting tips, use Stats Insider's data-driven AFL betting predictions in Round 22.

Our AFL Round 22 betting tips are showcased below.

Last week's Round 21 AFL betting tips, which included Isaac Smith to kick a goal at $2.75, went 2/3.

MORE: AFL Expert Tips 2022 for Round 22

AFL Best Bets for Round 22

Carlton +23.5 at $1.90

While Melbourne is heavily favoured to win at the MCG this weekend, our independent predictive analytics model believes the game will be closer than the line suggests.

Our suggested fair odds for Carlton +23.5 are $1.78, which makes the $1.90 offered by Sportsbet appear to be a good bet.

Melbourne vs Carlton is at the MCG on Saturday, August 13 at 7:25pm AEST.

MORE: Who to Tip in the AFL This Week

Lachlan Murphy Anytime Goal at $1.72

Adelaide's Lachlan Murphy has kicked at least one goal in five of his last six games, and the $1.72 offered for him to do so again against North Melbourne is too tempting to pass up.

According to our model, Murphy has a 68.4% chance of kicking a goal this weekend.

Adelaide vs North Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 13 at 2:10pm AEST.

MORE: AFL 2022 Premiership Chances

Ben Ainsworth Anytime Goal at $1.64

Ben Ainsworth has booted 17 goals for the Suns this year, and our model likes him to add to that tally when Gold Coast plays Geelong.

We predict that Ainsworth has a 71.0% chance of kicking a goal this week, which is a nice edge over the $1.64 odds available.

Gold Coast vs Geelong is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, August 13 at 4:35pm AEST.

RELATED: AFL Player Ratings

Best AFL Multi Bet for Round 22

If you're looking for some more action on the footy in Round 22, using our AFL multi bet tips is the way to go this weekend.

Carlton +23.5 ($1.90)
Lachlan Murphy anytime goal ($1.72)
Ben Ainsworth anytime goal ($1.64)
Multi odds = $5.35

Multi odds via Sportsbet. All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.